Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.063950 0.075466 0.088354 0.103829 0.121895 0.142305 0.167099
2025-06-01 0.045710 0.060436 0.078758 0.103166 0.134766 0.174230 0.227193
2025-06-08 0.034872 0.050392 0.071360 0.101628 0.144053 0.201240 0.283995
2025-06-15 0.028956 0.045032 0.068276 0.104106 0.157681 0.234498 0.352614
2025-06-22 0.023793 0.039476 0.063543 0.102836 0.164987 0.258993 0.411304
2025-06-29 0.019626 0.034531 0.058670 0.100173 0.169212 0.278744 0.464669
2025-07-06 0.016286 0.030253 0.054025 0.096890 0.171562 0.295301 0.514426
2025-07-13 0.014493 0.028283 0.052835 0.099049 0.182969 0.327568 0.593510
2025-07-20 0.012796 0.026169 0.051013 0.099711 0.191663 0.356002 0.669136
2025-07-27 0.011392 0.024354 0.049425 0.100480 0.200487 0.385454 0.749745
2025-08-03 0.010280 0.022921 0.048322 0.101950 0.210690 0.418384 0.840309
2025-08-10 0.009498 0.022037 0.048153 0.105195 0.224661 0.459808 0.951506
2025-08-17 0.008173 0.019780 0.044895 0.101755 0.224976 0.475313 1.014902
2025-08-24 0.007299 0.018393 0.043282 0.101585 0.232086 0.505255 1.111140
2025-08-31 0.006453 0.016917 0.041246 0.100166 0.236279 0.529599 1.198503
2025-09-07 0.005975 0.016252 0.040947 0.102630 0.249340 0.574085 1.333818
2025-09-14 0.005328 0.015044 0.039182 0.101382 0.253723 0.600128 1.431549
2025-09-21 0.004690 0.013741 0.036986 0.098756 0.254484 0.618087 1.513012
2025-09-28 0.004104 0.012475 0.034684 0.095518 0.253302 0.631384 1.585111
2025-10-05 0.003832 0.012043 0.034480 0.097647 0.265738 0.678033 1.741317
2025-10-12 0.003525 0.011451 0.033759 0.098301 0.274479 0.716734 1.882527
2025-10-19 0.003252 0.010915 0.033111 0.099059 0.283590 0.757335 2.032903
2025-10-26 0.003030 0.010495 0.032729 0.100509 0.294744 0.804298 2.204517